Maximilian Hell
  • About
  • Blog
  • Links

Post-Mortem

4/2/2017

0 Comments

 
Nate Cohn at the Upshot compares official voter files to The Upshot’s pre-election turnout projections:
"Large numbers of white, working-class voters shifted from the Democrats to Mr. Trump. Over all, almost one in four of President Obama’s 2012 white working-class supporters defected from the Democrats in 2016 ... 

On average, white and Hispanic turnout was 4 percent higher than we expected, while black turnout was 1 percent lower than expected. ...
The increase in white turnout was broad, including among young voters, Democrats, Republicans, unaffiliated voters, urban, rural, and the likeliest supporters of Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Trump. The greatest increases were among young and unaffiliated white voters. ...
If turnout played only a modest role in Mr. Trump’s victory, then the big driver of his gains was persuasion: He flipped millions of white working-class Obama supporters to his side."
0 Comments

Your comment will be posted after it is approved.


Leave a Reply.

    About

    This is my notepad.

    Archives

    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016

    RSS Feed

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.
  • About
  • Blog
  • Links