Deborah J. Schildkraut of Tufts at the Monkey Cage: "when we disaggregate young Americans by race, the standing of the Republican Party with young people is not as precarious as many think. Although Americans younger than 30 are less likely to identify as Republicans than are older people, the trend has been stable. … the gap between different age groups that emerged in the early 2000s has stabilized. There is no clear downward trend in Republican identification among young people. …
Second, within the Republican Party, young people are not always more consistently liberal than older people. For example, although young people are often described as racially progressive, younger Republicans do not have different views of African Americans. …
Young whites were more similar to older whites than to young nonwhites on many issues, including their views of African Americans, affirmative action and immigration. To be sure, young whites and young Republicans are not as conservative as older whites and Republicans on every issue. In the 2016 ANES, young whites and young Republicans were more opposed a border wall but more supportive of paid leave for new parents, legalizing marijuana and government action to fight climate change. …
And on other social issues, young Republicans are more conservative than older Republicans. … abortion … gun control ... The overall patterns do not suggest a massive Democratic or liberal surge among the young, or a significant number of liberal young Republicans on the cusp of leaving or changing the party."
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